Friday, April 25, 2008

Pennsylvania puts Obama over the top

Obama can now achieve the needed 2024 delegate total and the race can end!!!
This is not possible for Clinton, and may not be for her even at the end of the race.

For those that are not number-delegate-nerds, I'll go through it.

Pledged delegate score is now:

Obama = 1494
Clinton = 1334

(give or take a few...)

Given that Obama also has at least 230 super delegates that have promised to vote for him, this puts his total delegates at over 1724.

Assuming that the remaining 'unclaimed' super delegates want to end the race (hint hint), they can now put Obama over the top without changing the vote of any of the super delegates that have pledged to Clinton.

There are about 305 or so super delegates that have not come out and supported either Obama or Clinton. This is enough to put him over the top and end the contest.

Why don't they move?

Obviously they are not interested in saving the Democratic Party.

Obviously they are not interested in defeating John McCain in the fall.

This should be the focus of the internal debate within Democratic circles.